Nenê

PF · 2002 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #7 (NYK)

Drafted#7NYK · 2002
Redraft rank#4of 57 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #7~#152000–2021 median
VerdictBeat his slot · +11spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #5 (#17 at his position), close to where he went (#7).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    19.8 years old on draft night (born 1982-09-13).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    International prospect, born in Rio de Janeiro.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    PF (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 965 games over 17 NBA seasons (~69% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons17
Games965
Minutes / game26.2
Points / game11.3
Rebounds / game6.0
Assists / game1.8
Win Shares (career)73.3
VORP18.8
Box Plus/Minus1.0

The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

11151530304545Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Yao Ming: pick 1 → redraft 3Jay Williams: pick 2 → redraft 35Mike Dunleavy: pick 3 → redraft 6Drew Gooden: pick 4 → redraft 10Nikoloz Tskitishvili: pick 5 → redraft 43Dajuan Wagner: pick 6 → redraft 44Chris Wilcox: pick 8 → redraft 12Amar'e Stoudemire: pick 9 → redraft 1Caron Butler: pick 10 → redraft 7Jared Jeffries: pick 11 → redraft 19Melvin Ely: pick 12 → redraft 26Marcus Haislip: pick 13 → redraft 37Fred Jones: pick 14 → redraft 14Boštjan Nachbar: pick 15 → redraft 20Jiří Welsch: pick 16 → redraft 25Juan Dixon: pick 17 → redraft 24Curtis Borchardt: pick 18 → redraft 33Ryan Humphrey: pick 19 → redraft 41Kareem Rush: pick 20 → redraft 28Qyntel Woods: pick 21 → redraft 30Casey Jacobsen: pick 22 → redraft 23Tayshaun Prince: pick 23 → redraft 5Nenad Krstić: pick 24 → redraft 15Frank Williams: pick 25 → redraft 38John Salmons: pick 26 → redraft 11Chris Jefferies: pick 27 → redraft 42Dan Dickau: pick 28 → redraft 22Steve Logan: pick 30 → redraft 49Roger Mason: pick 31 → redraft 16Robert Archibald: pick 32 → redraft 45Vincent Yarbrough: pick 33 → redraft 34Dan Gadzuric: pick 34 → redraft 18Carlos Boozer: pick 35 → redraft 2Milos Vujanic: pick 36 → redraft 50David Andersen: pick 37 → redraft 29Tito Maddox: pick 38 → redraft 46Rod Grizzard: pick 39 → redraft 51Juan Carlos Navarro: pick 40 → redraft 31Mario Kasun: pick 41 → redraft 36Ronald Murray: pick 42 → redraft 21Jason Jennings: pick 43 → redraft 52Lonny Baxter: pick 44 → redraft 27Sam Clancy: pick 45 → redraft 53Matt Barnes: pick 46 → redraft 8Jamal Sampson: pick 47 → redraft 32Chris Owens: pick 48 → redraft 48Peter Fehse: pick 49 → redraft 54Darius Songaila: pick 50 → redraft 17Federico Kammerichs: pick 51 → redraft 55Marcus Taylor: pick 52 → redraft 56Rasual Butler: pick 53 → redraft 13Tamar Slay: pick 54 → redraft 40Mladen Sekularac: pick 55 → redraft 57Luis Scola: pick 56 → redraft 9Randy Holcomb: pick 57 → redraft 47Corsley Edwards: pick 58 → redraft 39

Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Pre-draft rankings
Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank
51.8%
n=765
Age
Under 20
51.7%
n=300
Path to the draft
International
41.7%
n=151
Position
Forward
51.2%
n=570

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 9", 240 lbs
Age on draft night19.8
BornRio de Janeiro
ESPN pre-draft rank#5 overall (#17 PF)

Picked around him 2002 redraft

4Drew Goodenredraft #10
5Nikoloz Tskitishviliredraft #43
6Dajuan Wagnerredraft #44
8Chris Wilcoxredraft #12
9Amar'e Stoudemireredraft #1
10Caron Butlerredraft #7

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.