Chris Wilcox
PF, Maryland · 2002 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #8 (LAC)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #7 (#20 at his position), close to where he went (#8).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.8 years old on draft night (born 1982-09-03).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Maryland.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 628 games over 11 NBA seasons (~70% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 11 |
| Games | 628 |
| Minutes / game | 19.9 |
| Points / game | 8.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.9 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 26.9 |
| VORP | 1.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.6 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 220 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.8 |
| Born | Raleigh, N.C. |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #7 overall (#20 PF) |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 5 | Nikoloz Tskitishvili | redraft #43 |
| 6 | Dajuan Wagner | redraft #44 |
| 7 | Nenê | redraft #4 |
| 9 | Amar'e Stoudemire | redraft #1 |
| 10 | Caron Butler | redraft #7 |
| 11 | Jared Jeffries | redraft #19 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.