Marquise Hill
DE, LSU · 2004 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #63 (NWE)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 13 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2004 through 2006 (~27%). Last NFL season: 2006.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #39 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#63).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
LSU: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.12 40-yard dash at 305 lbs: faster than 16% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 13 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 1 |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2006 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 305 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.12 s |
| Bench press | 23 reps |
| Vertical | 29" |
| Broad jump | 106" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #39 overall (#3 DE) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 60 | Courtney Watson | redraft #128 |
| 61 | Kris Wilson | redraft #159 |
| 62 | Keary Colbert | redraft #95 |
| 64 | Darnell Dockett | redraft #11 |
| 65 | Nate Kaeding | redraft #83 |
| 66 | Nick Hardwick | redraft #13 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.