Darnell Dockett
DT, Florida St. · 2004 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #64 (ARI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 158 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2004 through 2013 (~99%). Last NFL season: 2013.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #38 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#64). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Florida St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.00 40-yard dash at 297 lbs: faster than 34% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 158 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 10 |
| Pro Bowls | 3 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 69 |
| Defense | 358 tackles, 40.5 sacks, 4 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2013 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 297 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.00 s |
| Bench press | 26 reps |
| Vertical | 31" |
| Broad jump | 105" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #38 overall (#5 DT) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 61 | Kris Wilson | redraft #159 |
| 62 | Keary Colbert | redraft #95 |
| 63 | Marquise Hill | redraft #187 |
| 65 | Nate Kaeding | redraft #83 |
| 66 | Nick Hardwick | redraft #13 |
| 67 | Stuart Schweigert | redraft #91 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.