Roko Ukić

PG · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #41 (TOR)

Drafted#41TOR · 2005
Redraft rank#49of 60 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #41~#392000–2021 median
VerdictBelow his slot · -10spots vs. typical

Why he went too high Patterns

Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft, availability. Details below.

  • Path to the draft

    International prospect, born in Split, Croatia.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 85 games over 2 NBA seasons (~52% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #38 (#8 at his position), close to where he went (#41).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    20.6 years old on draft night (born 1984-12-05).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    PG (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.

Career numbers

Seasons2
Games85
Minutes / game11.6
Points / game4.0
Rebounds / game0.9
Assists / game1.9
Win Shares (career)-0.2
VORP-0.6
Box Plus/Minus-4.3

The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

111515303045456060Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Andrew Bogut: pick 1 → redraft 8Marvin Williams: pick 2 → redraft 5Deron Williams: pick 3 → redraft 2Chris Paul: pick 4 → redraft 1Raymond Felton: pick 5 → redraft 12Martell Webster: pick 6 → redraft 19Charlie Villanueva: pick 7 → redraft 20Channing Frye: pick 8 → redraft 14Ike Diogu: pick 9 → redraft 33Andrew Bynum: pick 10 → redraft 13Fran Vázquez: pick 11 → redraft 56Yaroslav Korolev: pick 12 → redraft 48Sean May: pick 13 → redraft 39Rashad McCants: pick 14 → redraft 35Antoine Wright: pick 15 → redraft 37Joey Graham: pick 16 → redraft 32Danny Granger: pick 17 → redraft 7Gerald Green: pick 18 → redraft 25Hakim Warrick: pick 19 → redraft 28Julius Hodge: pick 20 → redraft 53Nate Robinson: pick 21 → redraft 17Jarrett Jack: pick 22 → redraft 16Francisco García: pick 23 → redraft 21Luther Head: pick 24 → redraft 26Johan Petro: pick 25 → redraft 34Jason Maxiell: pick 26 → redraft 29Linas Kleiza: pick 27 → redraft 30Ian Mahinmi: pick 28 → redraft 24Wayne Simien: pick 29 → redraft 42David Lee: pick 30 → redraft 3Salim Stoudamire: pick 31 → redraft 41Daniel Ewing: pick 32 → redraft 43Brandon Bass: pick 33 → redraft 15C.J. Miles: pick 34 → redraft 18Ricky Sánchez: pick 35 → redraft 57Ersan İlyasova: pick 36 → redraft 11Ronny Turiaf: pick 37 → redraft 22Travis Diener: pick 38 → redraft 31Von Wafer: pick 39 → redraft 36Monta Ellis: pick 40 → redraft 10Chris Taft: pick 42 → redraft 45Mile Ilić: pick 43 → redraft 51Martynas Andriuškevičius: pick 44 → redraft 55Lou Williams: pick 45 → redraft 4Erazem Lorbek: pick 46 → redraft 58Bracey Wright: pick 47 → redraft 44Mickaël Gelabale: pick 48 → redraft 38Andray Blatche: pick 49 → redraft 23Ryan Gomes: pick 50 → redraft 27Robert Whaley: pick 51 → redraft 54Axel Hervelle: pick 52 → redraft 59Orien Greene: pick 53 → redraft 52Dijon Thompson: pick 54 → redraft 46Lawrence Roberts: pick 55 → redraft 40Amir Johnson: pick 56 → redraft 9Marcin Gortat: pick 57 → redraft 6Uroš Slokar: pick 58 → redraft 47Cenk Akyol: pick 59 → redraft 60Alex Acker: pick 60 → redraft 50

Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Path to the draft
International
41.7%
n=151
Pre-draft rankings
Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank
51.8%
n=765
Age
20
50.4%
n=246
Position
Guard
48.9%
n=499

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 5", 185 lbs
Age on draft night20.6
BornSplit, Croatia
ESPN pre-draft rank#38 overall (#8 PG)

Picked around him 2005 redraft

38Travis Dienerredraft #31
39Von Waferredraft #36
40Monta Ellisredraft #10
42Chris Taftredraft #45
43Mile Ilićredraft #51
44Martynas Andriuškevičiusredraft #55

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.