Chris Taft
PF, Pitt · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #42 (GSW)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 17 games over 1 NBA season (~21% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #42 (#12 at his position), close to where he went (#42).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.3 years old on draft night (born 1985-03-11).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Pitt.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 17 |
| Minutes / game | 8.5 |
| Points / game | 2.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.1 |
| Assists / game | 0.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.5 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.7 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 250 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.3 |
| Born | Brooklyn, NY |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #42 overall (#12 PF) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 39 | Von Wafer | redraft #36 |
| 40 | Monta Ellis | redraft #10 |
| 41 | Roko Ukić | redraft #49 |
| 43 | Mile Ilić | redraft #51 |
| 44 | Martynas Andriuškevičius | redraft #55 |
| 45 | Lou Williams | redraft #4 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.