Mile Ilić
C · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #43 (NJN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #56 (#7 at his position); he went #43, 13 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 5 games over 1 NBA season (~6% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
21.0 years old on draft night (born 1984-07-02).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 5 |
| Minutes / game | 1.2 |
| Points / game | 0.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.2 |
| Assists / game | 0.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.2 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -52.0 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 1", 240 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.0 |
| Born | 1984-07-02 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #56 overall (#7 C) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 40 | Monta Ellis | redraft #10 |
| 41 | Roko Ukić | redraft #49 |
| 42 | Chris Taft | redraft #45 |
| 44 | Martynas Andriuškevičius | redraft #55 |
| 45 | Lou Williams | redraft #4 |
| 46 | Erazem Lorbek | redraft #58 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.