Travis Diener
PG, Marquette · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #38 (ORL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #53 (#10 at his position); he went #38, 15 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.3 years old on draft night (born 1982-03-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Marquette.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 179 games over 5 NBA seasons (~44% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 5 |
| Games | 179 |
| Minutes / game | 14.9 |
| Points / game | 4.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.4 |
| Assists / game | 2.4 |
| Win Shares (career) | 5.6 |
| VORP | 1.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.4 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 175 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.3 |
| Born | Fond du Lac, WI |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #53 overall (#10 PG) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 35 | Ricky Sánchez | redraft #57 |
| 36 | Ersan İlyasova | redraft #11 |
| 37 | Ronny Turiaf | redraft #22 |
| 39 | Von Wafer | redraft #36 |
| 40 | Monta Ellis | redraft #10 |
| 41 | Roko Ukić | redraft #49 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.