Miles Plumlee
PF, Duke · 2012 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #26 (IND)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length. Details below.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 1" at 7' 0" tall (+1.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #41 (#11 at his position); he went #26, 15 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.8 years old on draft night (born 1988-09-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Duke.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 346 games over 7 NBA seasons (~60% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 346 |
| Minutes / game | 16.4 |
| Points / game | 4.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.5 |
| Assists / game | 0.5 |
| Win Shares (career) | 10.6 |
| VORP | 0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.9 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 252 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 1" |
| Age on draft night | 23.8 |
| Born | Warsaw, IN |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #41 overall (#11 PF) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 23 | John Jenkins | redraft #32 |
| 24 | Jared Cunningham | redraft #43 |
| 25 | Tony Wroten | redraft #54 |
| 27 | Arnett Moultrie | redraft #37 |
| 28 | Perry Jones | redraft #36 |
| 29 | Marquis Teague | redraft #52 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.