Marquis Teague
PG, Kentucky · 2012 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #29 (CHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 91 games over 3 NBA seasons (~37% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #19 overall (#3 at his position), but he lasted until pick #29: teams let him slide 10 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.3 years old on draft night (born 1993-02-28).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kentucky.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 7" at 6' 2" tall (+5.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 91 |
| Minutes / game | 10.0 |
| Points / game | 2.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.5 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.9 |
| VORP | -1.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -6.5 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 180 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 7" |
| Age on draft night | 19.3 |
| Born | Indianapolis, IN |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #19 overall (#3 PG) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 26 | Miles Plumlee | redraft #24 |
| 27 | Arnett Moultrie | redraft #37 |
| 28 | Perry Jones | redraft #36 |
| 30 | Festus Ezeli | redraft #28 |
| 31 | Jeff Taylor | redraft #40 |
| 32 | Tomáš Satoranský | redraft #16 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.