Tomáš Satoranský
SG · 2012 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #32 (WAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length. Details below.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 7" at 6' 8" tall (-1.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #52 (#14 at his position); he went #32, 20 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.7 years old on draft night (born 1991-10-30).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Prague, Czech Republic.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 388 games over 6 NBA seasons (~79% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 388 |
| Minutes / game | 22.2 |
| Points / game | 6.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.9 |
| Assists / game | 4.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 17.9 |
| VORP | 2.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.9 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 201 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 7" |
| Age on draft night | 20.7 |
| Born | Prague, Czech Republic |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #52 overall (#14 SG) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 29 | Marquis Teague | redraft #52 |
| 30 | Festus Ezeli | redraft #28 |
| 31 | Jeff Taylor | redraft #40 |
| 33 | Bernard James | redraft #35 |
| 34 | Jae Crowder | redraft #8 |
| 35 | Draymond Green | redraft #3 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.