Evan Fournier
SG · 2012 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #20 (DEN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length. Details below.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 8" at 6' 7" tall (+1.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #30 (#7 at his position); he went #20, 10 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.7 years old on draft night (born 1992-10-29).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Saint-Maurice, France.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 704 games over 12 NBA seasons (~72% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 12 |
| Games | 704 |
| Minutes / game | 27.7 |
| Points / game | 13.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.7 |
| Assists / game | 2.5 |
| Win Shares (career) | 30.5 |
| VORP | 4.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.1 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 206 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 8" |
| Age on draft night | 19.7 |
| Born | Saint-Maurice, France |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #30 overall (#7 SG) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 17 | Tyler Zeller | redraft #22 |
| 18 | Terrence Jones | redraft #17 |
| 19 | Andrew Nicholson | redraft #31 |
| 21 | Jared Sullinger | redraft #19 |
| 22 | Fab Melo | redraft #55 |
| 23 | John Jenkins | redraft #32 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.