Terrence Jones
PF, Kentucky · 2012 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #18 (HOU)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #10 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#18).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.5 years old on draft night (born 1992-01-09).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kentucky.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 2" at 6' 10" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 234 games over 6 NBA seasons (~48% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 234 |
| Minutes / game | 23.8 |
| Points / game | 10.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 5.7 |
| Assists / game | 1.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | 14.7 |
| VORP | 3.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.5 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 252 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 2" |
| Age on draft night | 20.5 |
| Born | Portland, OR |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #10 overall (#4 PF) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 15 | Maurice Harkless | redraft #13 |
| 16 | Royce White | redraft #56 |
| 17 | Tyler Zeller | redraft #22 |
| 19 | Andrew Nicholson | redraft #31 |
| 20 | Evan Fournier | redraft #11 |
| 21 | Jared Sullinger | redraft #19 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.