Andris Biedriņš
PF · 2004 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #11 (GSW)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #10 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#11).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.2 years old on draft night (born 1986-04-02).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 516 games over 10 NBA seasons (~63% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 10 |
| Games | 516 |
| Minutes / game | 21.6 |
| Points / game | 6.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 7.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.9 |
| Win Shares (career) | 30.7 |
| VORP | 4.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.4 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 240 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.2 |
| Born | 1986-04-02 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #10 overall (#3 PF) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 8 | Rafael Araújo | redraft #42 |
| 9 | Andre Iguodala | redraft #2 |
| 10 | Luke Jackson | redraft #34 |
| 12 | Robert Swift | redraft #30 |
| 13 | Sebastian Telfair | redraft #25 |
| 14 | Kris Humphries | redraft #22 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.