Robert Quinn
DE, North Carolina · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #14 (STL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 169 of ~194 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2022 (~87%). Last NFL season: 2022.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #6 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#14).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
North Carolina: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.62 40-yard dash at 265 lbs: faster than 93% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 169 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 3 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 69 |
| Defense | 286 tackles, 102 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2022 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 265 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.62 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 34" |
| Broad jump | 116" |
| 3-cone | 7.13 s |
| Shuttle | 4.4 s |
| Arm / hand | 34" / 10.1" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #6 overall (#1 DE) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 11 | J.J. Watt | redraft #3 |
| 12 | Christian Ponder | redraft #70 |
| 13 | Nick Fairley | redraft #67 |
| 15 | Mike Pouncey | redraft #27 |
| 16 | Ryan Kerrigan | redraft #20 |
| 17 | Nate Solder | redraft #19 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.