Jacoby Brissett
QB, North Carolina St. · 2016 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #91 (NWE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #109 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#91). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
North Carolina St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.94 40-yard dash at 231 lbs: faster than 18% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 100 of ~165 possible regular-season games from 2016 through 2025 (~61%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 107 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 42 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 3.2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 45.2 |
| Passing | 1547/2480, 16,094 yds, 85 TD, 38 INT |
| Rushing | 302 att, 1,209 yds, 17 TD |
| Receiving | 2 rec, 9 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 231 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.94 s |
| Vertical | 31" |
| Broad jump | 113" |
| 3-cone | 7.17 s |
| Shuttle | 4.53 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.38" / 9.5" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #109 overall (#7 QB) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 88 | Kyler Fackrell | redraft #98 |
| 89 | Javon Hargrave | redraft #20 |
| 90 | C.J. Prosise | redraft #154 |
| 92 | Brandon Williams | redraft #163 |
| 93 | Cody Kessler | redraft #159 |
| 94 | Nick Vannett | redraft #138 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.