Kyler Fackrell
OLB, Utah St. · 2016 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #88 (GNB)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
OLB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 86 of ~97 possible regular-season games from 2016 through 2021 (~89%). Last NFL season: 2021.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #111 (#10 at his position), close to where he went (#88).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Utah St.: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.72 40-yard dash at 245 lbs: faster than 28% of LBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 86 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 16 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 16.0 |
| Defense | 114 tackles, 23.5 sacks, 1 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2021 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 245 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.72 s |
| Bench press | 15 reps |
| Vertical | 34.5" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| Arm / hand | 32.38" / 10.13" |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #111 overall (#10 OLB) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 85 | Braxton Miller | redraft #182 |
| 86 | Leonte Carroo | redraft #180 |
| 87 | Nick Vigil | redraft #71 |
| 89 | Javon Hargrave | redraft #20 |
| 90 | C.J. Prosise | redraft #154 |
| 91 | Jacoby Brissett | redraft #36 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.