Greg Salas
WR, Hawaii · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #112 (STL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 29 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2016 (~30%). Last NFL season: 2016.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #82 (#12 at his position), close to where he went (#112).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Hawaii: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.53 40-yard dash at 210 lbs: faster than 25% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 29 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 4 |
| Rushing | 2 att, 28 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 50 rec, 704 yds, 1 TD |
| Defense | 2 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2016 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 210 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.53 s |
| Bench press | 15 reps |
| Vertical | 37" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| 3-cone | 6.65 s |
| Shuttle | 4.1 s |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 9.199" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #82 overall (#12 WR) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 109 | Colin McCarthy | redraft #104 |
| 110 | David Arkin | redraft #225 |
| 111 | Clyde Gates | redraft #175 |
| 113 | Chimdi Chekwa | redraft #177 |
| 114 | Cecil Shorts | redraft #78 |
| 115 | Kendall Hunter | redraft #94 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.