Dwayne Harris
WR, East Carolina · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #176 (DAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #112 overall (#15 at his position), but he lasted until pick #176: teams let him slide 64 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
East Carolina: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.53 40-yard dash at 203 lbs: faster than 25% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 109 of ~160 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2020 (~68%). Last NFL season: 2020.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 109 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 12 |
| Rushing | 9 att, 37 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 77 rec, 874 yds, 8 TD |
| Defense | 41 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 203 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.53 s |
| Bench press | 10 reps |
| Vertical | 34" |
| Broad jump | 111" |
| 3-cone | 6.77 s |
| Shuttle | 4.21 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.1" / 10.1" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #112 overall (#15 WR) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 173 | Byron Maxwell | redraft #71 |
| 174 | Charles Clay | redraft #54 |
| 175 | Byron Stingily | redraft #156 |
| 177 | Evan Royster | redraft #154 |
| 178 | Aldrick Robinson | redraft #100 |
| 179 | Caleb Schlauderaff | redraft #204 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.