DeMarcus Van Dyke
DB, Miami (FL) · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #81 (OAK)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #115 (#18 at his position); he went #81, 34 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 25 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2013 (~52%). Last NFL season: 2013.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Miami (FL): a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.28 40-yard dash at 176 lbs: faster than 99% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 25 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 3 |
| Defense | 14 tackles, 0 sacks, 1 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2013 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 176 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.28 s |
| Bench press | 5 reps |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 6.97 s |
| Shuttle | 4.09 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.29" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #115 overall (#18 DB) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 78 | Austin Pettis | redraft #117 |
| 79 | Leonard Hankerson | redraft #97 |
| 80 | Chris Culliver | redraft #95 |
| 82 | Vincent Brown | redraft #114 |
| 83 | Jerrel Jernigan | redraft #178 |
| 84 | Mason Foster | redraft #37 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.