David DeCastro
G, Stanford · 2012 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #24 (PIT)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 125 of ~144 possible regular-season games from 2012 through 2020 (~87%). Last NFL season: 2020.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #17 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#24). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Stanford: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.32 40-yard dash at 316 lbs: faster than 24% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 125 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 6 |
| First-team All-Pro | 2 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 69 |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 316 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.32 s |
| Bench press | 34 reps |
| Vertical | 29.5" |
| Broad jump | 98" |
| 3-cone | 7.3 s |
| Shuttle | 4.56 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.6" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #17 overall (#1 G) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 21 | Chandler Jones | redraft #9 |
| 22 | Brandon Weeden | redraft #102 |
| 23 | Riley Reiff | redraft #18 |
| 25 | Dont'a Hightower | redraft #17 |
| 26 | Whitney Mercilus | redraft #31 |
| 27 | Kevin Zeitler | redraft #16 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.