Christine Michael
RB, Texas A&M · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #62 (SEA)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 38 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2018 (~40%). Last NFL season: 2018.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #78 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#62).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Texas A&M: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.54 40-yard dash at 220 lbs: faster than 48% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 38 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 9 |
| Rushing | 256 att, 1,089 yds, 7 TD |
| Receiving | 26 rec, 135 yds, 1 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 220 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.54 s |
| Bench press | 27 reps |
| Vertical | 43" |
| Broad jump | 125" |
| 3-cone | 6.69 s |
| Shuttle | 4.02 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.4" / 9.3" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #78 overall (#4 RB) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 59 | Aaron Dobson | redraft #148 |
| 60 | Robert Alford | redraft #59 |
| 61 | Eddie Lacy | redraft #41 |
| 63 | Travis Kelce | redraft #1 |
| 64 | Dwayne Gratz | redraft #116 |
| 65 | Larry Warford | redraft #21 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.