Terrence Ross

SG, Washington · 2012 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #8 (TOR)

Drafted#8TOR · 2012
Redraft rank#12of 60 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #8~#172000–2021 median
VerdictBeat his slot · +5spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length, availability. Details below.

  • Length

    Wingspan 6' 7" at 6' 7" tall (+0.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 733 games over 11 NBA seasons (~81% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #11 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#8).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    21.4 years old on draft night (born 1991-02-05).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Path to the draft

    Played college basketball at Washington.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    SG (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons11
Games733
Minutes / game24.5
Points / game11.0
Rebounds / game2.8
Assists / game1.3
Win Shares (career)25.0
VORP4.5
Box Plus/Minus-1.0

The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

111515303045456060Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)Anthony Davis: pick 1 → redraft 1Michael Kidd-Gilchrist: pick 2 → redraft 18Bradley Beal: pick 3 → redraft 5Dion Waiters: pick 4 → redraft 25Thomas Robinson: pick 5 → redraft 30Damian Lillard: pick 6 → redraft 2Harrison Barnes: pick 7 → redraft 7Andre Drummond: pick 9 → redraft 4Austin Rivers: pick 10 → redraft 23Meyers Leonard: pick 11 → redraft 21Jeremy Lamb: pick 12 → redraft 9Kendall Marshall: pick 13 → redraft 41John Henson: pick 14 → redraft 15Maurice Harkless: pick 15 → redraft 13Royce White: pick 16 → redraft 56Tyler Zeller: pick 17 → redraft 22Terrence Jones: pick 18 → redraft 17Andrew Nicholson: pick 19 → redraft 31Evan Fournier: pick 20 → redraft 11Jared Sullinger: pick 21 → redraft 19Fab Melo: pick 22 → redraft 55John Jenkins: pick 23 → redraft 32Jared Cunningham: pick 24 → redraft 43Tony Wroten: pick 25 → redraft 54Miles Plumlee: pick 26 → redraft 24Arnett Moultrie: pick 27 → redraft 37Perry Jones: pick 28 → redraft 36Marquis Teague: pick 29 → redraft 52Festus Ezeli: pick 30 → redraft 28Jeff Taylor: pick 31 → redraft 40Tomáš Satoranský: pick 32 → redraft 16Bernard James: pick 33 → redraft 35Jae Crowder: pick 34 → redraft 8Draymond Green: pick 35 → redraft 3Orlando Johnson: pick 36 → redraft 38Quincy Acy: pick 37 → redraft 26Quincy Miller: pick 38 → redraft 47Khris Middleton: pick 39 → redraft 6Will Barton: pick 40 → redraft 10Tyshawn Taylor: pick 41 → redraft 53Doron Lamb: pick 42 → redraft 46Mike Scott: pick 43 → redraft 20Kim English: pick 44 → redraft 44Justin Hamilton: pick 45 → redraft 29Darius Miller: pick 46 → redraft 27Kevin Murphy: pick 47 → redraft 50Kostas Papanikolaou: pick 48 → redraft 42Kyle O'Quinn: pick 49 → redraft 14İzzet Türkyılmaz: pick 50 → redraft 57Kris Joseph: pick 51 → redraft 48Ognjen Kuzmić: pick 52 → redraft 45Furkan Aldemir: pick 53 → redraft 39Tornike Shengelia: pick 54 → redraft 49Darius Johnson-Odom: pick 55 → redraft 51Tomislav Zubčić: pick 56 → redraft 58İlkan Karaman: pick 57 → redraft 59Robbie Hummel: pick 58 → redraft 34Marcus Denmon: pick 59 → redraft 60Robert Sacre: pick 60 → redraft 33

Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Length
Under +2 in.
56.2%
n=73
Pre-draft rankings
Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank
51.8%
n=765
Age
21
47.6%
n=286
Path to the draft
US college
53.2%
n=1,015
Position
Guard
48.9%
n=499

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 7", 197 lbs
Wingspan6' 7"
Age on draft night21.4
BornPortland, OR
ESPN pre-draft rank#11 overall (#3 SG)

Picked around him 2012 redraft

5Thomas Robinsonredraft #30
6Damian Lillardredraft #2
7Harrison Barnesredraft #7
9Andre Drummondredraft #4
10Austin Riversredraft #23
11Meyers Leonardredraft #21

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.