Patrick O'Bryant
C, Bradley · 2006 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #9 (GSW)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 90 games over 4 NBA seasons (~27% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #12 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#9).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.0 years old on draft night (born 1986-06-20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Bradley.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 90 |
| Minutes / game | 5.8 |
| Points / game | 2.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.4 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.5 |
| VORP | -0.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.6 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 249 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.0 |
| Born | Blaine, MN |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #12 overall (#1 C) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 6 | Brandon Roy | redraft #7 |
| 7 | Randy Foye | redraft #11 |
| 8 | Rudy Gay | redraft #5 |
| 10 | Mouhamed Sene | redraft #38 |
| 11 | JJ Redick | redraft #6 |
| 12 | Hilton Armstrong | redraft #28 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.