Mouhamed Sene
C · 2006 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #10 (SEA)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #29 (#3 at his position); he went #10, 19 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Thies, Senegal.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 47 games over 3 NBA seasons (~19% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
20.1 years old on draft night (born 1986-05-12).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 47 |
| Minutes / game | 5.5 |
| Points / game | 2.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.0 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.3 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -5.1 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 232 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.1 |
| Born | Thies, Senegal |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #29 overall (#3 C) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 7 | Randy Foye | redraft #11 |
| 8 | Rudy Gay | redraft #5 |
| 9 | Patrick O'Bryant | redraft #35 |
| 11 | JJ Redick | redraft #6 |
| 12 | Hilton Armstrong | redraft #28 |
| 13 | Thabo Sefolosha | redraft #8 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.