Marcin Gortat
C · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #57 (PHO)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #22 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #57: teams let him slide 35 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 806 games over 12 NBA seasons (~82% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
21.4 years old on draft night (born 1984-02-18).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Lodz, Poland.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 12 |
| Games | 806 |
| Minutes / game | 25.7 |
| Points / game | 9.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 7.9 |
| Assists / game | 1.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 61.3 |
| VORP | 12.7 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.4 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 250 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.4 |
| Born | Lodz, Poland |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #22 overall (#5 C) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 54 | Dijon Thompson | redraft #46 |
| 55 | Lawrence Roberts | redraft #40 |
| 56 | Amir Johnson | redraft #9 |
| 58 | Uroš Slokar | redraft #47 |
| 59 | Cenk Akyol | redraft #60 |
| 60 | Alex Acker | redraft #50 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.