Amir Johnson
PF · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #56 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #35 overall (#11 at his position), but he lasted until pick #56: teams let him slide 21 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.2 years old on draft night (born 1987-05-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
No college; born in Los Angeles, CA.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 55.6% of the time (9 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 870 games over 14 NBA seasons (~76% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 14 |
| Games | 870 |
| Minutes / game | 21.1 |
| Points / game | 7.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 5.4 |
| Assists / game | 1.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 55.3 |
| VORP | 10.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.3 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft No college (HS / G League / other) | 55.6% n=9 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 220 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.2 |
| Born | Los Angeles, CA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #35 overall (#11 PF) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 53 | Orien Greene | redraft #52 |
| 54 | Dijon Thompson | redraft #46 |
| 55 | Lawrence Roberts | redraft #40 |
| 57 | Marcin Gortat | redraft #6 |
| 58 | Uroš Slokar | redraft #47 |
| 59 | Cenk Akyol | redraft #60 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.