Jrue Holiday
PG, UCLA · 2009 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #17 (PHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #8 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#17). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.0 years old on draft night (born 1990-06-12).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at UCLA.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 1092 games over 18 NBA seasons (~74% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 18 |
| Games | 1092 |
| Minutes / game | 32.8 |
| Points / game | 15.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.2 |
| Assists / game | 6.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 78.4 |
| VORP | 32.7 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.6 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 199 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.0 |
| Born | Chatsworth, CA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #8 overall (#5 PG) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 14 | Earl Clark | redraft #41 |
| 15 | Austin Daye | redraft #36 |
| 16 | James Johnson | redraft #16 |
| 18 | Ty Lawson | redraft #10 |
| 19 | Jeff Teague | redraft #7 |
| 20 | Eric Maynor | redraft #39 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.