Austin Daye
SF, Gonzaga · 2009 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #15 (DET)
Why he went too high Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #13 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#15).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.1 years old on draft night (born 1988-06-05).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Gonzaga.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 293 games over 6 NBA seasons (~60% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 293 |
| Minutes / game | 14.1 |
| Points / game | 5.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 4.5 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.0 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 192 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.1 |
| Born | Irvine, CA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #13 overall (#1 SF) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 12 | Gerald Henderson | redraft #27 |
| 13 | Tyler Hansbrough | redraft #25 |
| 14 | Earl Clark | redraft #41 |
| 16 | James Johnson | redraft #16 |
| 17 | Jrue Holiday | redraft #5 |
| 18 | Ty Lawson | redraft #10 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.