Joseph Forte
SG, UNC · 2001 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #21 (BOS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 25 games over 2 NBA seasons (~15% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #1 overall (#14 at his position), but he lasted until pick #21: teams let him slide 20 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.3 years old on draft night (born 1981-03-23).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at UNC.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 25 |
| Minutes / game | 5.0 |
| Points / game | 1.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.7 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.4 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -8.6 |
The 2001 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2001 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 185 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.3 |
| Born | 1981-03-23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #1 overall (#14 SG) |
Picked around him 2001 redraft
| 18 | Jason Collins | redraft #21 |
| 19 | Zach Randolph | redraft #7 |
| 20 | Brendan Haywood | redraft #14 |
| 22 | Jeryl Sasser | redraft #36 |
| 23 | Brandon Armstrong | redraft #44 |
| 24 | Raül López | redraft #30 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.