Jackson Vroman
C, Iowa State · 2004 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #31 (CHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #41 (#5 at his position); he went #31, 10 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 87 games over 2 NBA seasons (~53% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
23.1 years old on draft night (born 1981-06-06).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Iowa State.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 87 |
| Minutes / game | 12.8 |
| Points / game | 3.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.0 |
| VORP | -0.9 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -5.1 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 226 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.1 |
| Born | 1981-06-06 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #41 overall (#5 C) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 28 | Beno Udrih | redraft #18 |
| 29 | David Harrison | redraft #27 |
| 30 | Anderson Varejão | redraft #11 |
| 32 | Peter John Ramos | redraft #46 |
| 33 | Lionel Chalmers | redraft #40 |
| 34 | Donta Smith | redraft #33 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.