Anderson Varejão
PF · 2004 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #30 (ORL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #14 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #30: teams let him slide 16 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.7 years old on draft night (born 1982-09-28).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 632 games over 14 NBA seasons (~55% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 14 |
| Games | 632 |
| Minutes / game | 23.9 |
| Points / game | 7.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 7.2 |
| Assists / game | 1.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 46.4 |
| VORP | 8.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.3 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 230 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.7 |
| Born | 1982-09-28 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #14 overall (#5 PF) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 27 | Sasha Vujačić | redraft #23 |
| 28 | Beno Udrih | redraft #18 |
| 29 | David Harrison | redraft #27 |
| 31 | Jackson Vroman | redraft #44 |
| 32 | Peter John Ramos | redraft #46 |
| 33 | Lionel Chalmers | redraft #40 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.