Harry Giles
PF, Duke · 2017 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #20 (POR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 165 games over 4 NBA seasons (~50% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #12 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.2 years old on draft night (born 1998-04-22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Duke.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 3" at 6' 11" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 165 |
| Minutes / game | 11.7 |
| Points / game | 5.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.5 |
| Assists / game | 1.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 3.1 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.5 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2017 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2017 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 232 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 3" |
| Age on draft night | 19.2 |
| Born | 1998-04-22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #12 overall (#2 PF) |
Picked around him 2017 redraft
| 17 | D.J. Wilson | redraft #33 |
| 18 | T.J. Leaf | redraft #34 |
| 19 | John Collins | redraft #8 |
| 21 | Terrance Ferguson | redraft #27 |
| 22 | Jarrett Allen | redraft #3 |
| 23 | OG Anunoby | redraft #10 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.