Glenn Robinson III
SF, Michigan · 2014 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #40 (MIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #33 (#8 at his position), close to where he went (#40).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.5 years old on draft night (born 1994-01-08).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Michigan.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 10" at 6' 7" tall (+3.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 304 games over 7 NBA seasons (~53% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 304 |
| Minutes / game | 17.4 |
| Points / game | 5.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.8 |
| Win Shares (career) | 7.9 |
| VORP | 0.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.7 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 211 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 10" |
| Age on draft night | 20.5 |
| Born | St. John, IN |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #33 overall (#8 SF) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 37 | DeAndre Daniels | redraft #55 |
| 38 | Spencer Dinwiddie | redraft #11 |
| 39 | Jerami Grant | redraft #9 |
| 41 | Nikola Jokić | redraft #1 |
| 42 | Nick Johnson | redraft #48 |
| 43 | Edy Tavares | redraft #43 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.