Georgios Papagiannis
C · 2016 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #13 (PHO)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #46 (#10 at his position); he went #13, 33 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Marousi, Greece.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 39 games over 2 NBA seasons (~24% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
19.0 years old on draft night (born 1997-07-03).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 39 |
| Minutes / game | 12.2 |
| Points / game | 4.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.2 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.4 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -3.9 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 2", 240 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 19.0 |
| Born | Marousi, Greece |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #46 overall (#10 C) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 10 | Thon Maker | redraft #22 |
| 11 | Domantas Sabonis | redraft #1 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | redraft #16 |
| 14 | Denzel Valentine | redraft #24 |
| 15 | Juancho Hernangómez | redraft #18 |
| 16 | Guerschon Yabusele | redraft #20 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.