Guerschon Yabusele
PF · 2016 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #16 (BOS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #30 (#12 at his position); he went #16, 14 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.5 years old on draft night (born 1995-12-17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Dreux, France.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 0" at 6' 8" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 211 games over 4 NBA seasons (~64% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 211 |
| Minutes / game | 16.1 |
| Points / game | 6.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.5 |
| Assists / game | 1.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 6.4 |
| VORP | 0.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.5 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 240 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 0" |
| Age on draft night | 20.5 |
| Born | Dreux, France |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #30 overall (#12 PF) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 13 | Georgios Papagiannis | redraft #36 |
| 14 | Denzel Valentine | redraft #24 |
| 15 | Juancho Hernangómez | redraft #18 |
| 17 | Wade Baldwin | redraft #53 |
| 18 | Henry Ellenson | redraft #35 |
| 19 | Malik Beasley | redraft #13 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.