Donatas Motiejūnas
PF · 2011 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #20 (MIN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Kaunas, Lithuania.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 251 games over 6 NBA seasons (~51% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #25 (#8 at his position), close to where he went (#20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.8 years old on draft night (born 1990-09-20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 251 |
| Minutes / game | 18.2 |
| Points / game | 7.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.8 |
| Assists / game | 1.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 7.1 |
| VORP | -0.5 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.5 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 220 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.8 |
| Born | Kaunas, Lithuania |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #25 overall (#8 PF) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 17 | Iman Shumpert | redraft #26 |
| 18 | Chris Singleton | redraft #37 |
| 19 | Tobias Harris | redraft #5 |
| 21 | Nolan Smith | redraft #51 |
| 22 | Kenneth Faried | redraft #11 |
| 23 | Nikola Mirotić | redraft #19 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.