Dennis Schröder
PG · 2013 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #17 (ATL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 915 games over 14 NBA seasons (~80% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #15 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.8 years old on draft night (born 1993-09-15).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Braunschweig, Germany.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 7.75" at 6' 2" tall (+5.8 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 14 |
| Games | 915 |
| Minutes / game | 27.1 |
| Points / game | 13.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.9 |
| Assists / game | 4.9 |
| Win Shares (career) | 34.3 |
| VORP | 2.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.6 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 2", 165 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 7.75" |
| Age on draft night | 19.8 |
| Born | Braunschweig, Germany |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #15 overall (#4 PG) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 14 | Shabazz Muhammad | redraft #29 |
| 15 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | redraft #1 |
| 16 | Lucas Nogueira | redraft #26 |
| 18 | Shane Larkin | redraft #32 |
| 19 | Sergey Karasev | redraft #38 |
| 20 | Tony Snell | redraft #18 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.