Boštjan Nachbar
SF · 2002 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #15 (HOU)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #5 overall (#15 at his position), but he lasted until pick #15: teams let him slide 10 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.0 years old on draft night (born 1980-07-03).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Slovenj Gradec.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 317 games over 6 NBA seasons (~64% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 317 |
| Minutes / game | 17.8 |
| Points / game | 7.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.9 |
| Win Shares (career) | 8.7 |
| VORP | 0.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.6 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 8", 220 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.0 |
| Born | Slovenj Gradec |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #5 overall (#15 SF) |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 12 | Melvin Ely | redraft #26 |
| 13 | Marcus Haislip | redraft #37 |
| 14 | Fred Jones | redraft #14 |
| 16 | Jiří Welsch | redraft #25 |
| 17 | Juan Dixon | redraft #24 |
| 18 | Curtis Borchardt | redraft #33 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.