Bam Adebayo
PF, Kentucky · 2017 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #14 (MIA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #18 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#14). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
19.9 years old on draft night (born 1997-07-18).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kentucky.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 8' 11" at 6' 10" tall (+25.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 646 games over 10 NBA seasons (~79% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 10 |
| Games | 646 |
| Minutes / game | 30.8 |
| Points / game | 16.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 9.0 |
| Assists / game | 3.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 64.3 |
| VORP | 22.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 2.4 |
| 2026-27 so far | 3 GP, 13 PPG (ESPN) |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2017 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2017 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 242 lbs |
| Wingspan | 8' 11" |
| Age on draft night | 19.9 |
| Born | 1997-07-18 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #18 overall (#5 PF) |
Picked around him 2017 redraft
| 11 | Malik Monk | redraft #17 |
| 12 | Luke Kennard | redraft #12 |
| 13 | Donovan Mitchell | redraft #2 |
| 15 | Justin Jackson | redraft #25 |
| 16 | Justin Patton | redraft #47 |
| 17 | D.J. Wilson | redraft #33 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.