Axel Hervelle
PF · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #52 (DEN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Leige, Belgium.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Never played an NBA game.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #57 (#17 at his position), close to where he went (#52).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.1 years old on draft night (born 1983-05-12).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 0 |
| Games | 0 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 230 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.1 |
| Born | Leige, Belgium |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #57 overall (#17 PF) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 49 | Andray Blatche | redraft #23 |
| 50 | Ryan Gomes | redraft #27 |
| 51 | Robert Whaley | redraft #54 |
| 53 | Orien Greene | redraft #52 |
| 54 | Dijon Thompson | redraft #46 |
| 55 | Lawrence Roberts | redraft #40 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.