Andray Blatche
PF · 2005 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #49 (WAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #27 overall (#6 at his position), but he lasted until pick #49: teams let him slide 22 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.8 years old on draft night (born 1986-08-23).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
No college; born in Syracuse, NY.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 55.6% of the time (9 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 564 games over 9 NBA seasons (~76% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 9 |
| Games | 564 |
| Minutes / game | 22.1 |
| Points / game | 10.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 5.4 |
| Assists / game | 1.4 |
| Win Shares (career) | 19.2 |
| VORP | 3.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.8 |
The 2005 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2005 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft No college (HS / G League / other) | 55.6% n=9 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 240 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.8 |
| Born | Syracuse, NY |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #27 overall (#6 PF) |
Picked around him 2005 redraft
| 46 | Erazem Lorbek | redraft #58 |
| 47 | Bracey Wright | redraft #44 |
| 48 | Mickaël Gelabale | redraft #38 |
| 50 | Ryan Gomes | redraft #27 |
| 51 | Robert Whaley | redraft #54 |
| 52 | Axel Hervelle | redraft #59 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.