Anthony Randolph
PF, LSU · 2008 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #14 (GSW)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 252 games over 6 NBA seasons (~51% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #11 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#14).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.9 years old on draft night (born 1989-07-15).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at LSU.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 252 |
| Minutes / game | 15.2 |
| Points / game | 7.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.3 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 5.8 |
| VORP | 0.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.6 |
The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 197 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 18.9 |
| Born | Dallas, TX |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #11 overall (#3 PF) |
Picked around him 2008 redraft
| 11 | Jerryd Bayless | redraft #27 |
| 12 | Jason Thompson | redraft #23 |
| 13 | Brandon Rush | redraft #29 |
| 15 | Robin Lopez | redraft #14 |
| 16 | Marreese Speights | redraft #22 |
| 17 | Roy Hibbert | redraft #18 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.