Yamon Figurs
WR, Kansas St. · 2007 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #74 (BAL)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, age, position, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #204 (#1 at his position); he went #74, 130 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 34 of ~64 possible regular-season games from 2007 through 2010 (~53%). Last NFL season: 2010.
- School
Kansas St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.30 40-yard dash at 174 lbs: faster than 98% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 34 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 2 |
| Rushing | 3 att, -7 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 5 rec, 103 yds, 1 TD |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2010 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 174 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.30 s |
| Broad jump | 123" |
| 3-cone | 6.85 s |
| Shuttle | 4.21 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #204 overall (#1 WR) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 71 | Lorenzo Booker | redraft #153 |
| 72 | Marcus McCauley | redraft #150 |
| 73 | Jacoby Jones | redraft #53 |
| 75 | Laurent Robinson | redraft #86 |
| 76 | Jason Hill | redraft #123 |
| 77 | Matt Spaeth | redraft #166 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.