Winston Justice
T, USC · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #39 (PHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 63 of ~128 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2013 (~49%). Last NFL season: 2013.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #12 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#39).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
USC: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.16 40-yard dash at 319 lbs: faster than 63% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
T (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 63 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 21 |
| Last NFL season | 2013 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 319 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.16 s |
| Vertical | 35" |
| Broad jump | 110" |
| 3-cone | 7.31 s |
| Shuttle | 4.53 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #12 overall (#2 T) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 36 | Chad Jackson | redraft #178 |
| 37 | Jimmy Williams | redraft #152 |
| 38 | Thomas Howard | redraft #68 |
| 40 | Daniel Bullocks | redraft #138 |
| 41 | Deuce Lutui | redraft #62 |
| 42 | Danieal Manning | redraft #61 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.