Chad Jackson
WR, Florida · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #36 (NWE)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 18 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2008 (~38%). Last NFL season: 2008.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #15 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#36).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Florida: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.32 40-yard dash at 213 lbs: faster than 95% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 18 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 2 |
| Rushing | 4 att, 22 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 14 rec, 171 yds, 3 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2008 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 213 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.32 s |
| Vertical | 38.5" |
| Broad jump | 122" |
| 3-cone | 6.73 s |
| Shuttle | 3.97 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #15 overall (#1 WR) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 33 | DeMeco Ryans | redraft #24 |
| 34 | D'Qwell Jackson | redraft #20 |
| 35 | Rocky McIntosh | redraft #53 |
| 37 | Jimmy Williams | redraft #152 |
| 38 | Thomas Howard | redraft #68 |
| 39 | Winston Justice | redraft #91 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.