Danieal Manning
DB, Abilene Christian · 2006 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #42 (CHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 128 of ~144 possible regular-season games from 2006 through 2014 (~89%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #69 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#42).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Abilene Christian: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.48 40-yard dash at 202 lbs: faster than 52% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 128 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 35 |
| Defense | 435 tackles, 4 sacks, 11 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 202 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.48 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 39" |
| Broad jump | 123" |
| 3-cone | 7.23 s |
| Shuttle | 4.07 s |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #69 overall (#6 DB) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 39 | Winston Justice | redraft #91 |
| 40 | Daniel Bullocks | redraft #138 |
| 41 | Deuce Lutui | redraft #62 |
| 43 | Roman Harper | redraft #34 |
| 44 | Sinorice Moss | redraft #163 |
| 45 | LenDale White | redraft #105 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.