Tim Settle
DT, Virginia Tech · 2018 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #163 (WAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #106 overall (#10 at his position), but he lasted until pick #163: teams let him slide 57 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 124 of ~133 possible regular-season games from 2018 through 2025 (~93%). Plus 6 games so far in 2026.
- School
Virginia Tech: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.37 40-yard dash at 329 lbs: faster than 2% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 130 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 20 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 21.0 |
| Defense | 87 tackles, 15.5 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 329 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.37 s |
| Vertical | 23.5" |
| Broad jump | 96" |
| 3-cone | 7.95 s |
| Shuttle | 4.83 s |
| Arm / hand | 33" / 9.13" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #106 overall (#10 DT) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 160 | Ogbonnia Okoronkwo | redraft #125 |
| 161 | Jermaine Carter Jr. | redraft #114 |
| 162 | Jordan Lasley | redraft #242 |
| 164 | Natrell Jamerson | redraft #220 |
| 165 | Jaylen Samuels | redraft #158 |
| 166 | Wyatt Teller | redraft #38 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.