Terrel Bernard
LB, Baylor · 2022 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #89 (BUF)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position, availability. Details below.
The 2022 class is only 4 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Position
LB (LB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.8% of the time (701 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 58 of ~68 possible regular-season games from 2022 through 2025 (~85%). Plus 6 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #145 (#13 at his position); he went #89, 56 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Baylor: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Combine
Invited to the Combine but no 40 time on record (skipped or injured).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (4,704 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 64 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 25 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 2.5 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 27.5 |
| Defense | 219 tackles, 7.5 sacks, 6 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2022 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2022 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position LB | 56.8% n=701 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Combine Invited to the Combine | 50.6% n=4,704 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 224 lbs |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 35.5" |
| Broad jump | 123" |
| 3-cone | 7.03 s |
| Shuttle | 4.25 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.25" / 9.13" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #145 overall (#13 LB) |
Picked around him 2022 redraft
| 86 | Malik Willis | redraft #126 |
| 87 | Cameron Thomas | redraft #148 |
| 88 | Jalen Tolbert | redraft #120 |
| 90 | Dylan Parham | redraft #51 |
| 91 | Rachaad White | redraft #29 |
| 92 | Sean Rhyan | redraft #66 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.