Ted Ginn Jr.
WR, Ohio St. · 2007 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #9 (MIA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 193 of ~224 possible regular-season games from 2007 through 2020 (~86%). Last NFL season: 2020.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #16 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#9).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Ohio St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.38 40-yard dash at 178 lbs: faster than 83% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 193 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 7 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 52 |
| Passing | 1/1, 10 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 68 att, 486 yds, 2 TD |
| Receiving | 412 rec, 5,742 yds, 33 TD |
| Defense | 6 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 11", 178 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.38 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #16 overall (#3 WR) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 6 | LaRon Landry | redraft #36 |
| 7 | Adrian Peterson | redraft #1 |
| 8 | Jamaal Anderson | redraft #69 |
| 10 | Amobi Okoye | redraft #60 |
| 11 | Patrick Willis | redraft #2 |
| 12 | Marshawn Lynch | redraft #10 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.